Warm today, rain arrives tonight with severe storms possible Monday

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Turning much cooler by Tuesday...

TONIGHT: Showers After 9p, Turning Breezy. Lo 57. Winds: S 15-20 mph

MONDAY: Periods of Rain, Heavy at Times. Scattered Strong to Severe Storms 10AM-2PM, Turning Windy. Hi 74. Winds: SW 20-30 mph, Gusts to 50 mph.

Winds out of the south really pick up tonight with a strong storm system arriving. Rain will surge ahead of the larger system to the south, and we expect steady, even heavy rain through tonight and early Monday morning. Rain will likely be off-and-on for much of Monday morning, tapering some by late morning. It will be by 9-11 AM that we should have a better idea of how of the threat of rain will shift to thunderstorm activity.

The system’s cold front will set eyes on the Midstate around midday Monday. We continue to monitor the potential for severe weather with the main threat coming between 10a-2p. If storms can remain discrete (individual), isolated tornadoes will be possible. Otherwise, damaging winds will be the primary threat. Behind the storms, strong winds will follow as a strong cold front passes. Sustained winds will reach 20 to 30 mph during the afternoon with gusts to 50 mph possible. Temperatures will peak in the mid 70s briefly before temperatures tank Monday night.

A big pattern change follows with below-normal temps expected through the end of next week. Highs will drop into the 50s with overnight lows in the 30s. Latest guidance indicates the potential for mixed rain and snow showers Wednesday morning. Otherwise, the main hazard by late-week will be the potential for frost and freeze as overnight lows dip close to freezing. There are hints that a slight recovery in temps will come next weekend.

-Meteorologists Dan Tomaso and Adis Juklo

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